ARKEN RESEARCH

Arken research & ideas

Research and examples about negotiation

Read our AI model test results, practical negotiation examples, and summaries of outside research. We explain what each result means and where the evidence stops.

01 / Paper reading

When AI buys from AI, who gets the better deal?

A new negotiation benchmark finds a capability gap between buyer and seller agents—and shows why a completed deal can still be a failure.

A2A Negotiation Arena · 2025
02 / Field guide

The auction clock changes the game

A Dutch auction is a race to accept a falling price. Compare it with English and sealed-bid auctions to see which risks each format moves.

Four formats · One decision framework
03 / Research in practice

The first number is a move, not a plan

Anchors, alternatives and multiple offers: three practical moves, and the conditions under which each can fail.

Opening offers · Alternatives · Packages
04 / Idea examined

Peter Thiel is right about a crowded market. Then what?

Thiel’s competition thesis becomes more useful when you turn it into a concrete question about differentiation and bargaining power.

Competition · Differentiation · Leverage

Arken tests and worked examples

Test results

How AI models performed in our negotiation tests

20 models were tried in a fictional negotiation; 16 have first-round outcomes. Earlier AI judge ratings appear separately.

20 models tried · first round · simulated negotiation
How we tested

How we tested the AI models

See how the negotiations worked, what the scores mean, and why this small test has limits.

Worked example

When the cheaper contract costs more

A support-contract calculator for comparing annual fees and usage charges.

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